La transition démographique : un enjeu majeur pour l'Afrique Tropicale

Abstract

This study is to deal with the consequences attached to the demography forecast of the United Nations by 2050, and especially by 2100, concerning the Tropical Africa gathering 46 of the 56 africain states, within the meaning of the United Nations, Mayotte and Reunion, french overseas department are considered as Africain states. These projections show the seriousness of the situation. If nothing is done now, the populations of the Tropical Africa would excead the 3.8 millions, eg : Nigeria with the more than 750 millions inhabitants, the Democratic Republic of Congo with more 300 millions inhabitants, Niger with population would be multiplied by 2.6 in less of a century, etc... Admitted, these are only forecast but it would be wrong not to take them seriously, especially the 2050 forecast. (original abstract)