Inclusive Growth and the Social Development : Empirical Investigation with the ECM Models : Morocco's Case

Abstract

The problematic of inclusive growth revives the debate on economic policies against poverty and sustainable development in countries in development. In order to reduce poverty signifi cantly, the rapid pace of growth is not only necessary; it must be sustainable in the long term and large scale in all sectors. Poverty and growth have been much discussed and analyzed separately by policymakers in previous decades. As for the inclusive growth strategy, it is an integration of these two areas of analysis, which involves the relationship between the determining macro and micro economic growth. Th is article examines the nature of the relationship between the macroeconomic environment and social development indicators, fi rst using multiple regression method and, thereaft er, autoregressive vector models, as proposed by Toda Yamamoto (1995) in order to determine the direction of causality between the main macroeconomic variables, taking as a case in Morocco in the period 1980-2011. Furthermore, this study critically examines the paradigm of inclusive growth, exploring inclusive growth strategies implemented by the Moroccan policy makers. Th is review will determine whether these strategies are a myth or a reality through the identifi cation and prioritization of specifi c constraints in Morocco, health and education expenditures and the promotion of the sustainable and inclusive growth agriculture and rural develop ment.(original abstract)